Sunday, January 5, 2014

Cyclone Update 06-01-2014


052100Z POSITION NEAR 9.3N 81.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED WEST OF THE CENTER. A 051603Z METOP-A 89 GHZ IMAGE REVEALS WEAK, SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING LOOSELY INTO THE LLCC. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA INCLUDING A 051810Z OCEANSAT IMAGE INDICATE ONLY 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 12 AND SHOULD DISSIPATE QUICKLY BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS OVER SRI LANKA. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 10 FEET

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